Saturday, September 1, 2012

Private equity investment in Nepali hydro power

 Those of us who are trying to bring in international private equity investment in Nepal assert that despite huge opportunities in Nepal, foreign investors are still reluctant to invest here  mainly because of the numerous  perceived risks.Here are few highlights of an excellent paper ( Hydropower Financing Options for Nepal: Assessing the Prospect of Private Equity Investment) on what needs  to be done to bring in private equity capital in Nepali Hydro power sector

"The high risk perception of the hydropower investment in the Nepalese socio-political
environment is not likely to attract a particular private equity firm to individually undertake such
huge burden of risk. The government of Nepal (GoN) can initiate cross over funds where 
numerous private equity companies can invest  into this fund for the construction of the 
hydropower plant.  The cross over fund can be  invested either into the existing public listed 
companies or it can be invested into the privately held companies.  
The PPP policy support required for investing into this cross over fund will require the
government to devise policy setup which ensures amendment of the foreign investment policy for
allowing the equity participation of the private equity financiers and develop a centralized unit to
intermediate the transparent channelize of the fund into the hydropower project development. The
policy also need to enforce a higher degree of corporate governance requirement for the recipient
public and private firms, ensuring fair and transparent accounting standards and regulations for
protecting the rights of the minority shareholders along with providing effective tax benefits and
alleviation of supplementary vats to provide higher returns to the private equity financiers.
The major constraint in attracting cross over fund in Nepal is the lack of exit mechanism for the
private equity financiers. The high volatility of the stock market of Nepal and the low depth in the 
market makes it very difficult for a large private equity fund holder to exit through Nepal’s 
domestic capital market. For large hydropower plant investments, the government can facilitate 
foreign listing of the holding company. The foreign listing of the holding company will allow the
private equity financiers to exit the market through the international capital market.  .    
Poor reliability and access to  power are the most serious  infrastructure bottlenecks to
growth. Increasing access to electricity in a timely and cost-effective manner is one of the most
significant development challenges facing Nepal today. Considering Nepal’s recent emergence 
from conflict along with the establishment of a new governance system and emerging banking 
sector investing in micro power plants can be a viable option for private investors. Micro power 
plants which is connected to the regional energy grid is a new concept in South Asian countries. 
For Nepal the macro benefits of SHP are also evident, such as booming the economy of hilly areas, 
improving the rural energy structure, bettering the ecosystem, improving the living situation of 
rural people, promoting agriculture, creating more job opportunities and boosting tourism industry 
etc Although these bring no direct economic profit to investors, the local government and people 
can benefit a lot, who in return, give strong support to station construction and its long-term 
operation, and ultimately brings out a huge invisible profit indirectly(Arya, 2007).

Currently, the Banking sector of Nepal also has the capacity to finance the small hydropower 
plants which requires investment of below USD 300 million as the banking sector has a liquid 
fund base of USD 2 billion. However, the possibility of the asset liability maturity mismatches of 
the banking sector constraints the investment of the banking sector into the long horizon 
investments. The major constraint of the banking sector is the regulatory cap on single corporate
obligor and sector exposure limits, the single corporate obligor limits are 50% of the core Tier 1
capital (Total Capital Fund) and currently the banking sector is targeting 25% due to severe
liquidity concerns and credit risks. Currently the total core capital of the Banking sector stands at
NPR 96.854 billion20 (USD 1.3 BN), hence the total Banking sector of Nepal has funding
capacity USD 300 MN (25% of Total Capital Fund).  
The loans to the hydropower are considered as loans to deprived sectors thus no provisioning is
required in the initial periods, but the liquidity of the Banks has the possibility to face serious
setback when the entire financing of the hydropower is done through the banking sector. However,
given the huge number of financial institution of Nepal and the availability of USD 300, there is
window of opportunity to finance the small micro hydropower plants through bank financing.
In order to attract more local and foreign investment in hydropower sector of Nepal, the Nepal 
government needs to revise the existing power tariff structure of electricity and provide more 
incentive to the investors. Due to political pressure against price increase often regulators favor to
keep the energy price constant. In long run without any subsidy, any possible power purchase price
increase needs to adjust with price enhancement at the consumer level. The tariff is typically fixed
in advance and adjustable over time only in accordance with predetermined contractual terms.
Private investment can be attracted  into a hydropower sector only if investors are convinced that
tariffs will be set and periodically adjusted in a manner that ensures an adequate rate of return to
investors. After the decade long political conflict Nepalese government needs to ensure such
predictable return to the investors to attract private sector investors. Equally important, the public
utility character of infrastructure projects requires that the tariff be perceived as "fair" to
consumers. This balance is not always easy to strike, and disputes over tariffs can delay project
implementation" Source: http://www.nrb.org.np/international_conference/confproc_vol2.pdf (page 268-269)

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